A peek into Gartner's crystal ball
In a recent session that Gartner held to predict the IT trends in the Asia
Pacific for the new year, it declared that the region would continue to see
rapid growth in the IT Services and Software segment.
Narrowing the research down to India, Gartner observed that the fastest growth
is occurring in the IT and Telecom segments. "The probability that voice-based
solutions will gain traction in India is higher than in other countries of the
APAC region, such as Australia, because of the countrys lower literacy
rates," says Jitendra Jethanandani, Analyst-Software Infrastructure, Asia
However, Sujay Chohan, VP and Research Director, Gartner notes that India has
made a distinct shift from being a development site, to being an emerging market
as its economy grows. That is a trend, India will continue to see as PC penetration
increases and the big telecom players deploy services such as streaming video.
The SME segment will see substantial ERP adoption in the near future, but Pranav
Kumar, Research Director, Enterprise Application Software suggests that the
Indian market is still immature when it comes to SRM and SCM adoption. Jethanandani
echoed Kumar's prediction that apart from some early enthusiasts, Business Intelligence
will not feature in its true form any time soon.
On the PC vendor front, Gartner predicts that three out of
the top ten global players will exit the market by 2007, and will probably be
replaced by Chinese IT companies. The changes that this will bring about include
pricing challengers. These challengers will give the established vendors a run
for their money.